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February 28, 2012

第444話 フィリピン株?

 手持ちのベトナム株が冴えない。というよりほとんど死んでる。2社ほど3年くらい前から持っているが、初めの半年くらいで4割くらい上がり、こりゃ5倍10倍も夢じゃない、とトラタヌを心に抱いたのも束の間。今では惨憺たる状態。

 しかも為替も悲惨。やはりドイモイがどうたら言っても社会主義政権の経済運営では無理なのか、ドン安から這い上がる気配がなかなか見られない。円高も向かい風になって、株価で2分の1、為替で2分の1、計4分の1になってしまった。まあ、果報は当分寝て待つしかなさそうだ。

 証券会社からはフィリピン株のお勧めがきた。フィリピンはインドネシアやタイなどと同じく、他の東南アジアと同様に株価水準はなかなかイイ感じだ。ここ4カ月くらいで総合指数も2割くらい上昇し、5000に届きそうな勢いだ。

 しかし、どうにもピンと来ないのである。この国は外資の経済活動や海外送金で支えられていると言われているくらい自前の産業基盤が乏しく、GDP成長率など見ても周辺国と比べても気の毒なくらい低い。まあ、当面インフレ懸念は見えていないのは良いとしても。

 うーん、だからよくわからん。何で株価だけが好調なのか。高値掴みでババを引かされるのは勘弁してほしい。よって、お誘いはあったが、ここはパス。

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